Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings
Model projection
Kraken 51%Red Wings 49%
Projected score3 – 2.8expected goals
Overtime25%chance of OT
Model moneyline-104 / +104Kraken / Red Wings
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Kraken | Red Wings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 322 | 365.7 | Red Wings |
| Coaching | 328.2 | 326.6 | Kraken |
| Offense | 292.5 | 340.8 | Red Wings |
| Defense | 352.5 | 332.5 | Kraken |
| Overtime | 312.8 | 280.5 | Kraken |
| Opponents | 47.4 | 65.1 | Red Wings |
| Global | 197 | 128.5 | Kraken |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Kraken | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|---|
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 91% · 100 | 25% · 0 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 50.7% · 100 | 19.6% · 3.9 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 16 · 7.8 | 22.9 · 94 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Points/Game | Offense | 0.49 · 84.2 | 0.11 · 0 |
| Shot-Attempt Share (Off Zone Proxy) | Offense | 43.7% · 8.2 | 56.2% · 91.1 |
| Opponent Shot-Attempt Share (Zone Proxy) | Defense | 56.3% · 8.2 | 43.8% · 91.1 |
| Shorthanded Goals Allowed | Offense | 0.25 · 0 | 0 · 82.4 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 22.6% · 85.2 | 45.4% · 3.3 |
| Empty-Net Goals per Game (Proxy) | Coaching | 0 · 4.5 | 0.33 · 86.2 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 18.5 · 100 | 13.3 · 27.5 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.099 · 14 | 0.114 · 83.2 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | 0.75 · 100 | -0.17 · 34.8 |
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Kraken vs Red Wings matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings on October 9, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Seattle Kraken power ranking and Detroit Red Wings power ranking.