Pittsburgh Penguins vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Model projection
Penguins 53%Blue Jackets 47%
Projected score3.2 – 2.7expected goals
Overtime26%chance of OT
Model moneyline-111 / +111Penguins / Blue Jackets
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Penguins | Blue Jackets | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 457.5 | 491.6 | Blue Jackets |
| Coaching | 323.8 | 318.5 | Penguins |
| Offense | 439 | 303.5 | Penguins |
| Defense | 405.1 | 309.2 | Penguins |
| Overtime | 366.1 | 372.9 | Blue Jackets |
| Opponents | 46 | 73.4 | Blue Jackets |
| Global | 270.6 | 159.6 | Penguins |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Penguins | Blue Jackets |
|---|---|---|---|
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 75% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.125 · 100 | 0.093 · 0 |
| Goals Allowed / PK Minute | Defense | 0 · 100 | 0.28 · 0 |
| Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy) | Defense | 0.5 · 100 | 0.83 · 0 |
| Shots / OT | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 4 · 100 |
| Penalty Kill Impacts | Global | 100% · 100 | 57% · 0 |
| Shots / Game | Offense | 33 · 97.9 | 21 · 0 |
| OT Win Ratio (wins / opportunities) | Overtime | 100% · 100 | 0% · 2.2 |
| OT Wins Ratio | Global | 100% · 100 | 0% · 2.2 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 23 · 95.8 | 12.2 · 0 |
| Empty-Net Goals per Game (Proxy) | Coaching | 0 · 4.5 | 0.5 · 100 |
| Blocked Shots / Game (PK) | Defense | 1 · 15.7 | 1.8 · 100 |
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Penguins vs Blue Jackets matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Pittsburgh Penguins vs Columbus Blue Jackets on October 9, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Pittsburgh Penguins power ranking and Columbus Blue Jackets power ranking.