San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues
Model projection
Sharks 45%Blues 55%
Projected score1.5 – 2.8expected goals
Overtime25%chance of OT
Model moneyline+122 / -122Sharks / Blues
Market moneyline-115 / -105DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Sharks | Blues | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 392 | 403.6 | Blues |
| Coaching | 312 | 322.7 | Blues |
| Offense | 272.9 | 246.5 | Sharks |
| Defense | 283.4 | 367.6 | Blues |
| Overtime | 421.6 | 298.4 | Sharks |
| Opponents | 59.4 | 45 | Sharks |
| Global | 215.7 | 280.1 | Blues |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Sharks | Blues |
|---|---|---|---|
| OT Win Ratio (wins / opportunities) | Overtime | 100% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| OT Wins Ratio | Global | 100% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| Empty-Net Goals per Game (Proxy) | Coaching | 0 · 2.8 | 1 · 100 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 67% · 91 | 25% · 0 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 23.8% · 81.6 | 58% · 0 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 100% · 100 | 50% · 20.2 |
| Regulation Win Ratio | Global | 0% · 0 | 50% · 71 |
| Penalty Kill Impacts | Global | 75% · 31 | 100% · 100 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 17.7 · 92.3 | 13 · 23.6 |
| Individual Talent Quality (OT) | Overtime | 3.17 · 100 | 1.5 · 32.1 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -0.42 · 8.6 | 0.25 · 76.1 |
| Powerplay Impacts | Global | 25% · 33.8 | 0% · 100 |
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Sharks vs Blues matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues on October 8, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: San Jose Sharks power ranking and St. Louis Blues power ranking.