Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Islanders
Model projection
Blackhawks 42%Islanders 58%
Projected score2.9 – 6expected goals
Overtime24%chance of OT
Model moneyline+140 / -140Blackhawks / Islanders
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Blackhawks | Islanders | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 312.4 | 539 | Islanders |
| Coaching | 296.5 | 205.8 | Blackhawks |
| Offense | 167.3 | 267.1 | Islanders |
| Defense | 151.4 | 382.3 | Islanders |
| Overtime | 305.6 | 309.1 | Islanders |
| Opponents | 67.6 | 52.2 | Blackhawks |
| Global | 192.9 | 193.1 | Islanders |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Blackhawks | Islanders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals Against / Game | Defense | 5 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -0.39 · 0 | 0.58 · 100 |
| Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy) | Defense | 0.75 · 0 | 0.5 · 100 |
| Blocked Shots / Game (PK) | Defense | 0.7 · 0 | 1.9 · 100 |
| Goals Allowed / PK Minute | Defense | 0.25 · 0 | 0.06 · 98 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Points/Game | Offense | 0 · 2.9 | 0.5 · 100 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.097 · 0 | 0.116 · 96.5 |
| Penalty-Kill TOI per Game (Def Zone Proxy) | Defense | 963 · 75.3 | 2,148 · 0 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 60% · 74.7 | 0% · 0 |
| Regulation Win Ratio | Global | 0% · 0 | 50% · 71 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -0.17 · 33.9 | 0.5 · 100 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Points/Game | Offense | 0.31 · 37 | 0.67 · 100 |
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Blackhawks vs Islanders matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Islanders on October 8, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Chicago Blackhawks power ranking and New York Islanders power ranking.