Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks
Model projection
Oilers 41%Ducks 59%
Projected score2 – 4.8expected goals
Overtime24%chance of OT
Model moneyline+146 / -146Oilers / Ducks
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Oilers | Ducks | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 344.8 | 261.2 | Oilers |
| Coaching | 375 | 207.3 | Oilers |
| Offense | 373.5 | 283.9 | Oilers |
| Defense | 400 | 374.3 | Oilers |
| Overtime | 344.6 | 360 | Ducks |
| Opponents | 62.4 | 59.7 | Oilers |
| Global | 270 | 311.4 | Ducks |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Oilers | Ducks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shorthanded Goals Scored | Defense | 2 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| OT Win Ratio (wins / opportunities) | Overtime | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| OT Wins Ratio | Global | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Shots Against / OT | Overtime | 0.5 · 87.5 | 4 · 0 |
| Goals Saved Above Average (Team) | Defense | -6.7 · 2 | 1.7 · 71.7 |
| Shots / OT | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 3 · 69.2 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 67% · 33.3 | 100% · 100 |
| Average Points Top 4 Defensemen | Offense | 2.8 · 83.3 | 1 · 25 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -2 · 0 | 0 · 57.1 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 10.7% · 100 | 35.8% · 47.4 |
| 3+ Goal Routes (Blowout Losses) | Coaching | 0 · 100 | 2 · 50 |
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 1 · 50 | 0 · 0 |
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Oilers vs Ducks matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks on October 7, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Edmonton Oilers power ranking and Anaheim Ducks power ranking.