Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets
Model projection
Avalanche 49%Jets 51%
Projected score2.2 – 2.5expected goals
Overtime27%chance of OT
Model moneyline+105 / -105Avalanche / Jets
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Avalanche | Jets | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 341.2 | 394.2 | Jets |
| Coaching | 272.2 | 272.2 | Even |
| Offense | 336.2 | 328.3 | Avalanche |
| Defense | 425.1 | 384 | Avalanche |
| Overtime | 312.5 | 312.9 | Jets |
| Opponents | 67.1 | 70.5 | Jets |
| Global | 322.7 | 152.9 | Avalanche |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Avalanche | Jets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bottom-6 Forwards Points/Game | Offense | 1.1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals Allowed | Offense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 2 · 66.7 | 0 · 0 |
| Team Discipline | Global | 0.42 · 100 | -0.16 · 36.3 |
| Powerplay Impacts | Global | 29% · 57.1 | 67% · 0 |
| Top 5 Players Production Ratio | Offense | 53% · 14.3 | 83% · 69.8 |
| Top 5 Production Ratio vs Team (PP) | Offense | 83% · 50 | 100% · 0 |
| Shots Against / OT | Overtime | — · 50 | 0 · 100 |
| Regulation Win Ratio | Global | 100% · 100 | 50% · 50 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.104 · 35.2 | 0.12 · 82.3 |
| Average Points Top 9 Forwards | Offense | 3.2 · 84.4 | 1.6 · 37.5 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | 0.5 · 94.7 | -0.17 · 52.6 |
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Avalanche vs Jets matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets on October 7, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Colorado Avalanche power ranking and Winnipeg Jets power ranking.