Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken
Model projection
Golden Knights 44%Kraken 56%
Projected score1.4 – 2.6expected goals
Overtime26%chance of OT
Model moneyline+126 / -126Golden Knights / Kraken
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Golden Knights | Kraken | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 415.9 | 250.5 | Golden Knights |
| Coaching | 525 | 335.4 | Golden Knights |
| Offense | 394.2 | 323.3 | Golden Knights |
| Defense | 408.1 | 393.2 | Golden Knights |
| Overtime | 293.4 | 302.8 | Kraken |
| Opponents | 49.1 | 44.3 | Golden Knights |
| Global | 350.4 | 289.5 | Golden Knights |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Golden Knights | Kraken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals within 5 min after Coach Timeout | Coaching | 2 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 100% · 100 | 50% · 0 |
| Opp Shot Attempts / Game | Defense | 38.7 · 100 | 56.7 · 22.9 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 16.2% · 8.7 | 51.6% · 76.1 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.123 · 93.8 | 0.102 · 28.8 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 11 · 23.1 | 19 · 84.6 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -0.75 · 38.5 | 1 · 92.3 |
| Empty-Net Goals per Game (Proxy) | Coaching | 0.5 · 50 | 0 · 0 |
| Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Offense | 2 · 100 | 1 · 50 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 50 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 1 · 50 | 0 · 0 |
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Golden Knights vs Kraken matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken on October 6, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Vegas Golden Knights power ranking and Seattle Kraken power ranking.