St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks
Model projection
Blues 59%Blackhawks 41%
Projected score5.1 – 1.4expected goals
Overtime23%chance of OT
Model moneyline-146 / +146Blues / Blackhawks
Market moneyline-115 / -105DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Blues | Blackhawks | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 280.4 | 209.4 | Blues |
| Coaching | 350 | 320.8 | Blues |
| Offense | 251.7 | 165.6 | Blues |
| Defense | 369.4 | 183.9 | Blues |
| Overtime | 296 | 320.4 | Blackhawks |
| Opponents | 23.1 | 60.5 | Blackhawks |
| Global | 315.4 | 222 | Blues |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Blues | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Net Goals per Game (Proxy) | Coaching | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 0 · 100 | 2 · 0 |
| Shut Outs | Defense | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Auxiliary Goalie Goal Against Ratio | Defense | 0 · 100 | 6 · 14.7 |
| Opp Scoring Chances / Game | Defense | 15.7 · 74.6 | 22.9 · 1.5 |
| Penalty-Kill TOI per Game (Def Zone Proxy) | Defense | 2,000 · 10 | 963 · 80.2 |
| Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy) | Defense | 0.48 · 100 | 0.75 · 35.5 |
| Opponent Shot Quality (allowed) | Defense | 0.102 · 77.5 | 0.122 · 15.9 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 18.8 · 59.6 | 11.7 · 0 |
| Shot Attempts / Game | Offense | 57.2 · 69.5 | 40.7 · 10.4 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 58% · 0.9 | 30.6% · 56.7 |
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Blues vs Blackhawks matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks on October 6, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: St. Louis Blues power ranking and Chicago Blackhawks power ranking.