New York Islanders vs New York Rangers
Model projection
Islanders 55%Rangers 45%
Projected score1.5 – 0.4expected goals
Overtime30%chance of OT
Model moneyline-123 / +123Islanders / Rangers
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Islanders | Rangers | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 459.8 | 269.7 | Islanders |
| Coaching | 175 | 466.7 | Rangers |
| Offense | 306.6 | 352.3 | Rangers |
| Defense | 446.8 | 387.9 | Islanders |
| Overtime | 299.8 | 290 | Islanders |
| Opponents | 60.8 | 56.1 | Islanders |
| Global | 317.6 | 366 | Rangers |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Islanders | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals Scored | Defense | 2 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Penalty Kill Impacts | Global | 50% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 58.5% · 0 | 15.5% · 87.4 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 0% · 0 | 83% · 83.3 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 13.9% · 4.4 | 49.9% · 72.7 |
| Empty-Net Goals per Game (Proxy) | Coaching | 0 · 0 | 0.67 · 66.7 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 100% · 100 | 67% · 33.3 |
| Line Stability | Coaching | 2 · 50 | 3 · 100 |
| 3+ Goal Routes (Blowout Losses) | Coaching | 2 · 50 | 0 · 100 |
| Top 5 Production Ratio vs Team (PP) | Offense | 100% · 0 | 83% · 50 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 50 |
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Islanders vs Rangers matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of New York Islanders vs New York Rangers on October 6, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: New York Islanders power ranking and New York Rangers power ranking.