Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Model projection
Predators 49%Maple Leafs 51%
Projected score1.2 – 1.4expected goals
Overtime29%chance of OT
Model moneyline+106 / -106Predators / Maple Leafs
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Predators | Maple Leafs | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 314 | 343 | Maple Leafs |
| Coaching | 231.7 | 361.7 | Maple Leafs |
| Offense | 240.9 | 268.3 | Maple Leafs |
| Defense | 378 | 366.9 | Predators |
| Overtime | 321.7 | 297.4 | Predators |
| Opponents | 34 | 49.3 | Maple Leafs |
| Global | 288.5 | 274.3 | Predators |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Predators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 0 · 0 | 2 · 100 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.096 · 11.5 | 0.125 · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 100% · 100 | 67% · 33.3 |
| Opp Scoring Chances / Game | Defense | 13.2 · 100 | 19.1 · 39.2 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 53.9% · 9.4 | 24.6% · 68.8 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 12.8 · 9.4 | 19.6 · 65.7 |
| Line Stability | Coaching | 1.9 · 45 | 3 · 100 |
| Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Offense | 1 · 50 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 50 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 1 · 50 | 0 · 0 |
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Predators vs Maple Leafs matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs on October 6, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Nashville Predators power ranking and Toronto Maple Leafs power ranking.