Carolina Hurricanes vs Montréal Canadiens
Model projection
Hurricanes 53%Canadiens 47%
Projected score3.1 – 2.5expected goals
Overtime26%chance of OT
Model moneyline-112 / +112Hurricanes / Canadiens
Market moneyline-118 / -102DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Hurricanes | Canadiens | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 361.6 | 322.2 | Hurricanes |
| Coaching | 315.7 | 303.3 | Hurricanes |
| Offense | 255.4 | 301.1 | Canadiens |
| Defense | 356.5 | 396.1 | Canadiens |
| Overtime | 322.8 | 332.5 | Canadiens |
| Opponents | 23.4 | 48.3 | Canadiens |
| Global | 247.3 | 259.9 | Canadiens |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Hurricanes | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Powerplay Impacts | Global | 60% · 10 | 0% · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 67% · 33.3 | 100% · 100 |
| Plus/Minus Overall | Offense | -23 · 26.2 | 13 · 81.5 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Opponent Context; Audit) | Defense | 23 · 26.2 | -13 · 81.5 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Defense Context; Duplicate) | Defense | -23 · 26.2 | 13 · 81.5 |
| Top 5 Production Ratio vs Team (PP) | Offense | 100% · 0 | — · 50 |
| OT Win Ratio (wins / opportunities) | Overtime | 50% · 50 | 0% · 0 |
| OT Wins Ratio | Global | 50% · 50 | 0% · 0 |
| Regulation Win Ratio | Global | 0% · 0 | 50% · 50 |
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 1 · 50 | 0 · 0 |
| Shots Against / OT | Overtime | 2 · 42.9 | 0.3 · 90.5 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -0.5 · 31.6 | 0.25 · 78.9 |
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Hurricanes vs Canadiens matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Carolina Hurricanes vs Montréal Canadiens on October 6, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Carolina Hurricanes power ranking and Montréal Canadiens power ranking.