Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins

October 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT · Scheduled

Model projection

Senators 40%Bruins 60%

Projected score0.1 – 3.1expected goals

Overtime23%chance of OT

Model moneyline+151 / -151Senators / Bruins

Market moneyline— / —no stored line

Section edges

Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.

Section	Senators	Bruins	Edge
Front Office	404.8	453.4	Bruins
Coaching	204.2	311.2	Bruins
Offense	169.5	332.9	Bruins
Defense	377.8	383.3	Bruins
Overtime	284.4	348.5	Bruins
Opponents	41.7	51.7	Bruins
Global	178.1	457.6	Bruins

Metric matchup

The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.

Metric	Section	Senators	Bruins
Comebacks in 3rd Periods	Offense	0 · 0	2 · 100
Primary Goalie Game Ratio	Defense	0% · 0	100% · 100
Shut Outs	Defense	0 · 0	1 · 100
OT Win Ratio (wins / opportunities)	Overtime	0% · 0	100% · 100
Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT)	Overtime	0 · 0	1 · 100
OT Wins Ratio	Global	0% · 0	100% · 100
Last 5-Minute Comeback Wins	Global	0 · 0	2 · 100
Shots Against / OT	Overtime	0 · 100	3 · 14.3
Opp Shot Attempts / Game	Defense	39.8 · 91.9	60 · 8.3
Opp Scoring Chances / Game	Defense	14 · 82.1	22.5 · 6.2
Shot Attempts / Game	Offense	34.8 · 0	57.5 · 74.7
Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy)	Defense	0 · 100	0.64 · 26.2

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Senators vs Bruins matchup

This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins on October 5, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.

Team pages: Ottawa Senators power ranking and Boston Bruins power ranking.