Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings
Model projection
Jets 51%Red Wings 49%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime59%chance of OT
Model moneyline-105 / +105Jets / Red Wings
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Jets | Red Wings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 386.1 | 390.7 | Red Wings |
| Coaching | 233.3 | 233.3 | Even |
| Offense | 234.8 | 263.8 | Red Wings |
| Defense | 385.8 | 370.2 | Jets |
| Overtime | 284.4 | 309.9 | Red Wings |
| Opponents | 69.6 | 69.4 | Jets |
| Global | 146.7 | 220.9 | Red Wings |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Jets | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 2 · 66.7 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 16.3 · 42.4 | 23.5 · 94.9 |
| Goals within 5 min after Coach Timeout | Coaching | 0 · 0 | 1 · 50 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 50% · 50 | 0% · 0 |
| Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 50 |
| Shots Against / OT | Overtime | 0 · 100 | 2 · 50 |
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 50 |
| Opp Average Points Top 4 Defensemen | Defense | 2 · 100 | 1.1 · 51.1 |
| Opp Average Points Top 9 Forwards | Defense | 2.1 · 100 | 1.3 · 55.7 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 33.1% · 50.3 | 14.8% · 22.5 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.122 · 89.5 | 0.112 · 63.3 |
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Jets vs Red Wings matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings on October 4, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Winnipeg Jets power ranking and Detroit Red Wings power ranking.