Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken
Model projection
Flames 1%Kraken 99%
Projected score0.6 – 5.4expected goals
Overtime3%chance of OT
Model moneyline+8233 / -8233Flames / Kraken
Market moneyline+114 / -135DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Flames | Kraken | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 343.2 | 342.4 | Flames |
| Coaching | 175 | 350 | Kraken |
| Offense | 246.5 | 324.9 | Kraken |
| Defense | 266.7 | 371 | Kraken |
| Overtime | 282.9 | 312.1 | Kraken |
| Opponents | 68.5 | 49.1 | Flames |
| Global | 234.4 | 331.1 | Kraken |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Flames | Kraken |
|---|---|---|---|
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Regulation Win Ratio | Global | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -2 · 5.3 | 1.5 · 78.9 |
| Plus/Minus Overall | Offense | -20 · 20 | 20 · 92.7 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Opponent Context; Audit) | Defense | 20 · 20 | -20 · 92.7 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Defense Context; Duplicate) | Defense | -20 · 20 | 20 · 92.7 |
| Individual Talent Quality (OT) | Overtime | 1 · 13.3 | 6 · 80 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 18.8% · 28.6 | 61.9% · 94.2 |
| Goals Against / Game | Defense | 6 · 25 | 1 · 87.5 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 49.2% · 29.9 | 11% · 84.3 |
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Flames vs Kraken matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken on October 4, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Calgary Flames power ranking and Seattle Kraken power ranking.