Blues vs Avalanche — NHL Prediction & Analytics (October 3, 2026)

St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche

October 3, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT · Scheduled

Model projection

Blues 1%Avalanche 99%

Projected score0.3 – 6.3expected goals

Overtime1%chance of OT

Model moneyline+12400 / -12400Blues / Avalanche

Market moneyline— / —no stored line

Section edges

Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.

Section	Blues	Avalanche	Edge
Front Office	300	300	Even
Coaching	175	272.2	Avalanche
Offense	258.4	402	Avalanche
Defense	351.7	328.6	Blues
Overtime	284.4	315.6	Avalanche
Opponents	32.2	51.4	Avalanche
Global	194.4	298.1	Avalanche

Metric matchup

The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.

Metric	Section	Blues	Avalanche
Average Points Top 9 Forwards	Offense	0 · 0	1.8 · 100
Average Points Top 4 Defensemen	Offense	0 · 0	1.5 · 100
Goals / Powerplay Minute	Offense	0 · 0	0.12 · 100
Points / Powerplay Minute	Offense	0 · 0	0.36 · 100
Shorthanded Goals Allowed	Offense	0 · 100	2 · 0
Primary Goalie Game Ratio	Defense	0% · 0	100% · 100
Regulation Win Ratio	Global	0% · 0	100% · 100
Opponent Shot Quality (allowed)	Defense	0.097 · 81.3	0.127 · 0
Blocked Shots / Game	Defense	0 · 0	15 · 71.4
Individual Talent Quality (OT)	Overtime	0 · 0	5 · 71.4
Penalty-Kill TOI per Game (Def Zone Proxy)	Defense	0 · 100	1,920 · 30.3
Blocked Shots / Game (PK)	Defense	0 · 0	2 · 53.4

Blues vs Avalanche matchup

This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche on October 3, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.

Team pages: St. Louis Blues power ranking and Colorado Avalanche power ranking.