Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers
Model projection
Kraken 2%Oilers 98%
Projected score0.3 – 4.3expected goals
Overtime2%chance of OT
Model moneyline+5456 / -5456Kraken / Oilers
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Kraken | Oilers | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 291.7 | 303.3 | Oilers |
| Offense | 294.5 | 309.1 | Oilers |
| Defense | 295.6 | 301.1 | Oilers |
| Overtime | 275 | 366.4 | Oilers |
| Opponents | 54.9 | 56.4 | Oilers |
| Global | 220.3 | 184.1 | Kraken |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Kraken | Oilers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Points Top 4 Defensemen | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1.5 · 100 |
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy) | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1.01 · 0 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Individual Talent Quality (OT) | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 7 · 100 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Top 5 Players Production Ratio | Offense | 0% · 0 | 92% · 91.7 |
| Goals Allowed / PK Minute | Defense | 0 · 100 | 0.5 · 17 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 0 · 0 | 12 · 57.1 |
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Kraken vs Oilers matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers on October 3, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Seattle Kraken power ranking and Edmonton Oilers power ranking.