New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders
Model projection
Devils 51%Islanders 49%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime57%chance of OT
Model moneyline-104 / +104Devils / Islanders
Market moneyline-102 / -118DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Devils | Islanders | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 291.7 | 175 | Devils |
| Offense | 280.5 | 315.8 | Islanders |
| Defense | 302.5 | 352.3 | Islanders |
| Overtime | 270.4 | 290.7 | Islanders |
| Opponents | 47.3 | 42.1 | Devils |
| Global | 142.6 | 259.2 | Islanders |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Devils | Islanders |
|---|---|---|---|
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 100% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| Top 5 Players Production Ratio | Offense | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 0 · 0 | 2 · 100 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 4.7% · 93.3 | 70.2% · 0 |
| Penalty-Kill TOI per Game (Def Zone Proxy) | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1,896 · 31.2 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 48.6% · 73.9 | 4.5% · 6.9 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 0 · 0 | 11 · 52.4 |
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Devils vs Islanders matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders on October 3, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: New Jersey Devils power ranking and New York Islanders power ranking.