Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers
Model projection
Hurricanes 40%Flyers 60%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime64%chance of OT
Model moneyline+151 / -151Hurricanes / Flyers
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Hurricanes | Flyers | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 311.2 | 175 | Hurricanes |
| Offense | 134.5 | 138.5 | Flyers |
| Defense | 386.1 | 240.7 | Hurricanes |
| Overtime | 263.3 | 284.4 | Flyers |
| Opponents | 46.5 | 57.7 | Flyers |
| Global | 220.3 | 103.7 | Hurricanes |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Hurricanes | Flyers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ Goal Routes (Blowout Losses) | Coaching | 0 · 100 | 4 · 0 |
| Opponent Shots / Game | Defense | 20 · 78.3 | 38 · 0 |
| Blocked Shots / Game (PK) | Defense | 3.8 · 100 | 0.9 · 24.1 |
| Goals Against / Game | Defense | 1 · 87.5 | 7 · 12.5 |
| Penalty Kill Impacts | Global | 100% · 100 | 67% · 33.3 |
| Opp Shot Attempts / Game | Defense | 28 · 72.9 | 53 · 16.4 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 19 · 90.5 | 8 · 38.1 |
| Goals Saved Above Average (Team) | Defense | 1.4 · 83.3 | -2.2 · 31.5 |
| Shorthanded Goals Allowed | Offense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 50 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | 0 · 50 | -2 · 0 |
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 1 · 50 | 0 · 0 |
| Goals Allowed / PK Minute | Defense | 0 · 100 | 0.29 · 51.8 |
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Hurricanes vs Flyers matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers on October 3, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Carolina Hurricanes power ranking and Philadelphia Flyers power ranking.