Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes
Model projection
Capitals 70%Hurricanes 30%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime63%chance of OT
Model moneyline-231 / +231Capitals / Hurricanes
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Capitals | Hurricanes | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 291.7 | 369.5 | Hurricanes |
| Offense | 237.7 | 132.7 | Capitals |
| Defense | 333.5 | 381.4 | Hurricanes |
| Overtime | 347.7 | 263.3 | Capitals |
| Opponents | 69.1 | 54.4 | Capitals |
| Global | 181.5 | 220.3 | Hurricanes |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Capitals | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Line Stability | Coaching | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Penalty-Kill TOI per Game (Def Zone Proxy) | Defense | 0 · 100 | 2,755 · 0 |
| Blocked Shots / Game (PK) | Defense | 0 · 0 | 3.8 · 100 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 0 · 0 | 19 · 90.5 |
| Opponent Shot Quality (allowed) | Defense | 0.126 · 16.7 | 0.101 · 75.3 |
| Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy) | Defense | 0 · 100 | 0.59 · 41.5 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Points/Game | Offense | — · 50 | 0 · 0 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Points/Game | Offense | — · 50 | 0 · 0 |
| Shot-Attempt Share (Off Zone Proxy) | Offense | — · 50 | 36.4% · 0 |
Open the interactive game page
Capitals vs Hurricanes matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes on October 2, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Washington Capitals power ranking and Carolina Hurricanes power ranking.