New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings
Model projection
Rangers 52%Red Wings 48%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime61%chance of OT
Model moneyline-107 / +107Rangers / Red Wings
Market moneyline+120 / -142DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Rangers | Red Wings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 379.2 | 233.3 | Rangers |
| Offense | 254.3 | 276.2 | Red Wings |
| Defense | 247.7 | 329.1 | Red Wings |
| Overtime | 270.4 | 309.4 | Red Wings |
| Opponents | 43.1 | 24.2 | Rangers |
| Global | 298.1 | 207.4 | Rangers |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Rangers | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Line Stability | Coaching | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 100% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 75% · 75 | 0% · 0 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 12 · 57.1 | 0 · 0 |
| Plus/Minus Overall | Offense | -16 · 0 | 0 · 51.6 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Opponent Context; Audit) | Defense | 16 · 0 | -0 · 51.6 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Defense Context; Duplicate) | Defense | -16 · 0 | 0 · 51.6 |
Open the interactive game page
Rangers vs Red Wings matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings on October 2, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: New York Rangers power ranking and Detroit Red Wings power ranking.