Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils
Model projection
Flyers 51%Devils 49%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime62%chance of OT
Model moneyline-103 / +103Flyers / Devils
Market moneyline+120 / -142DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Flyers | Devils | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 175 | 291.7 | Devils |
| Offense | 244.5 | 280.8 | Devils |
| Defense | 386.8 | 297.2 | Flyers |
| Overtime | 284.4 | 270.4 | Flyers |
| Opponents | 69.7 | 34.9 | Flyers |
| Global | 116.7 | 142.6 | Devils |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Flyers | Devils |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ Goal Routes (Blowout Losses) | Coaching | 3 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Opp Average Points Top 9 Forwards | Defense | 0.3 · 54.5 | 0 · 0 |
| Opponent Shot Quality (allowed) | Defense | 0.091 · 97.7 | 0.114 · 44.2 |
| Opp Scoring Chances / Game | Defense | 11 · 88.5 | 17 · 49.2 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 17.5 · 54.2 | 22.5 · 92.4 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 25% · 38 | 48.6% · 73.9 |
| Opponent Strength (Avg Opponent Power) | Opponents | 295.1 · 69.7 | 233.1 · 34.9 |
| Opp Average Points Top 4 Defensemen | Defense | 0.3 · 33.3 | 0 · 0 |
| Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 33.3 |
| Goals Against / Game | Defense | 3.8 · 37.5 | 2 · 66.7 |
Open the interactive game page
Flyers vs Devils matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils on October 1, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Philadelphia Flyers power ranking and New Jersey Devils power ranking.