Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche
Model projection
Kings 51%Avalanche 49%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime57%chance of OT
Model moneyline-106 / +106Kings / Avalanche
Market moneyline+160 / -192DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Kings | Avalanche | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 204.2 | 175 | Kings |
| Offense | 209.7 | 229.6 | Avalanche |
| Defense | 371.6 | 303.3 | Kings |
| Overtime | 284.4 | 284.4 | Even |
| Opponents | 53.9 | 39.1 | Kings |
| Global | 168.5 | 220.3 | Avalanche |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Kings | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|---|
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 0 · 0 | 2 · 100 |
| Opponent Shot Quality (allowed) | Defense | 0.103 · 71.3 | 0.134 · 0 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.119 · 77.4 | 0.099 · 21.2 |
| Shots / Game | Offense | 15.3 · 1.1 | 26.8 · 53.4 |
| Shot Attempts / Game | Offense | 35.5 · 6.4 | 55.3 · 57.1 |
| Opp Average Points Top 9 Forwards | Defense | 0.3 · 45.5 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Average Points Top 4 Defensemen | Defense | 0.3 · 41.7 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 27.4% · 58.3 | 52.2% · 20.6 |
| Opp Scoring Chances / Game | Defense | 14.3 · 67.2 | 19.5 · 32.8 |
| Comeback Wins | Global | 2 · 66.7 | 1 · 33.3 |
| Opponent Shots / Game | Defense | 19.8 · 78.4 | 26 · 50 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 14 · 27.5 | 17.5 · 54.2 |
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Kings vs Avalanche matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche on September 30, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Los Angeles Kings power ranking and Colorado Avalanche power ranking.