Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers

September 29, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT · Final · Final 6–5

6–5OT

Model projection

Canucks 49%Oilers 51%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime62%chance of OT
Model moneyline+104 / -104Canucks / Oilers
Market moneyline+210 / -280DraftKings

Section edges

Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.

SectionCanucksOilersEdge
Front Office300300Even
Coaching315361.7Oilers
Offense415.9340.4Canucks
Defense375307.2Canucks
Overtime403.1366.4Canucks
Opponents59.863.8Oilers
Global259.290.8Canucks

Metric matchup

The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.

MetricSectionCanucksOilers
Comebacks from 2+ Goal DeficitOffense1 · 1000 · 0
Shorthanded Goals AllowedOffense0 · 1001 · 0
Shorthanded Goals ScoredDefense1 · 1000 · 0
OT Win Ratio (wins / opportunities)Overtime100% · 1000% · 0
OT Wins RatioGlobal100% · 1000% · 0
2-Goal Comeback WinsGlobal1 · 1000 · 0
Shot-Attempt Share (Off Zone Proxy)Offense37.6% · 4.762.4% · 95.3
Opponent Shot-Attempt Share (Zone Proxy)Defense62.4% · 4.737.6% · 95.3
Bottom-6 Forwards Points/GameOffense0.83 · 83.30 · 0
Shot Attempts / GameOffense44 · 28.272 · 100
Goals / Powerplay MinuteOffense0.1 · 1000.03 · 28.3
Points / Powerplay MinuteOffense0.3 · 1000.09 · 28.3

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Canucks vs Oilers matchup

This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers on September 29, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.

Team pages: Vancouver Canucks power ranking and Edmonton Oilers power ranking.