Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights
Model projection
Blackhawks 47%Golden Knights 53%
Projected score0.3 – 0.3expected goals
Overtime62%chance of OT
Model moneyline+112 / -112Blackhawks / Golden Knights
Market moneyline+195 / -260DraftKings
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Blackhawks | Golden Knights | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 350 | 641.7 | Golden Knights |
| Offense | 234.2 | 526.8 | Golden Knights |
| Defense | 236.9 | 388.4 | Golden Knights |
| Overtime | 341.5 | 321.1 | Blackhawks |
| Opponents | 57.7 | 46.1 | Blackhawks |
| Global | 181.5 | 324.1 | Golden Knights |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Blackhawks | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Net Goals per Game (Proxy) | Coaching | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Goals within 5 min after Coach Timeout | Coaching | 0 · 0 | 2 · 100 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Points/Game | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Offense | 0 · 0 | 2 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Regulation Win Ratio | Global | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Powerplay Impacts | Global | 0% · 100 | 20% · 0 |
| Penalty Kill Impacts | Global | 80% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Bottom-Pair Defensemen Plus/Minus per Game | Defense | -0.5 · 20 | 1.5 · 100 |
| Shots Against / OT | Overtime | 0.5 · 87.5 | 3.5 · 12.5 |
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Blackhawks vs Golden Knights matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights on September 29, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Chicago Blackhawks power ranking and Vegas Golden Knights power ranking.