St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks
Model projection
Blues 46%Blackhawks 54%
Projected score2.2 – 2.3expected goals
Overtime19%chance of OT
Model moneyline+116 / -116Blues / Blackhawks
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Blues | Blackhawks | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 175 | 350 | Blackhawks |
| Offense | 259.3 | 234.2 | Blues |
| Defense | 353.9 | 236.9 | Blues |
| Overtime | 284.4 | 341.5 | Blackhawks |
| Opponents | 36.3 | 57.7 | Blackhawks |
| Global | 194.4 | 181.5 | Blues |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Blues | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Line Stability | Coaching | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Top 5 Players Production Ratio | Offense | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 21.8 · 86.6 | 13.2 · 21.4 |
| Opponent Shots / Game | Defense | 23.3 · 62.5 | 37 · 0 |
| Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy) | Defense | 0 · 100 | 0.6 · 40.7 |
| Opp Scoring Chances / Game | Defense | 13 · 75.4 | 21.8 · 17.7 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 63.8% · 3 | 26.2% · 60.2 |
| Opponent Shot Quality (allowed) | Defense | 0.097 · 84.3 | 0.122 · 27.5 |
| Goals Against / Game | Defense | 1.8 · 70.8 | 5 · 16.7 |
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Blues vs Blackhawks matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks on September 26, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: St. Louis Blues power ranking and Chicago Blackhawks power ranking.