Colorado Avalanche vs Utah Mammoth
Model projection
Avalanche 57%Mammoth 43%
Projected score3.8 – 3.1expected goals
Overtime15%chance of OT
Model moneyline-133 / +133Avalanche / Mammoth
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Avalanche | Mammoth | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 175 | 214 | Mammoth |
| Offense | 229.6 | 277.5 | Mammoth |
| Defense | 303.3 | 295.1 | Avalanche |
| Overtime | 284.4 | 284.4 | Even |
| Opponents | 39.1 | 54.7 | Mammoth |
| Global | 220.3 | 116.7 | Avalanche |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Avalanche | Mammoth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 0 · 100 | 1 · 0 |
| Losses Despite High Scoring Chances | Global | 2 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 0% · 0 | 67% · 66.7 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 18.7% · 28.4 | 58.2% · 88.5 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 52.2% · 20.6 | 13.9% · 78.8 |
| Shot Quality (avg danger/attempt) | Offense | 0.099 · 21.2 | 0.118 · 74.4 |
| Shots / OT | Overtime | — · 50 | 0 · 0 |
| Shots Against / OT | Overtime | — · 50 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Average Points Top 9 Forwards | Defense | 0 · 0 | 0.3 · 45.5 |
| Opponent Shot Quality (allowed) | Defense | 0.134 · 0 | 0.115 · 42.2 |
| Opp Average Points Top 4 Defensemen | Defense | 0 · 0 | 0.3 · 41.7 |
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Avalanche vs Mammoth matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Colorado Avalanche vs Utah Mammoth on September 26, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Colorado Avalanche power ranking and Utah Mammoth power ranking.