New York Rangers vs New York Islanders
Model projection
Rangers 52%Islanders 48%
Projected score2.5 – 2.4expected goals
Overtime18%chance of OT
Model moneyline-109 / +109Rangers / Islanders
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Rangers | Islanders | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 379.2 | 97.2 | Rangers |
| Offense | 254.3 | 262.7 | Islanders |
| Defense | 247.7 | 302.2 | Islanders |
| Overtime | 270.4 | 284.4 | Islanders |
| Opponents | 43.1 | 36.3 | Rangers |
| Global | 298.1 | 259.2 | Rangers |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Rangers | Islanders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Line Stability | Coaching | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 100% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 75% · 75 | 0% · 0 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 21.7% · 67 | 65.7% · 0 |
| 3+ Goal Routes (Blowout Losses) | Coaching | 0 · 100 | 2 · 33.3 |
| Blocked Shots / Game | Defense | 12 · 57.1 | 0 · 0 |
| Plus/Minus Overall | Offense | -16 · 0 | 0 · 51.6 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Opponent Context; Audit) | Defense | 16 · 0 | -0 · 51.6 |
| Team Plus/Minus (Defense Context; Duplicate) | Defense | -16 · 0 | 0 · 51.6 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Points/Game | Offense | 0 · 0 | — · 50 |
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Rangers vs Islanders matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of New York Rangers vs New York Islanders on September 25, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: New York Rangers power ranking and New York Islanders power ranking.