Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks
Model projection
Oilers 69%Canucks 31%
Projected score3.8 – 2.4expected goals
Overtime14%chance of OT
Model moneyline-226 / +226Oilers / Canucks
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Oilers | Canucks | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 361.7 | 315 | Oilers |
| Offense | 340.4 | 415.9 | Canucks |
| Defense | 307.2 | 375 | Canucks |
| Overtime | 366.4 | 403.1 | Canucks |
| Opponents | 63.8 | 59.8 | Oilers |
| Global | 90.8 | 259.2 | Canucks |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Oilers | Canucks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Shorthanded Goals Allowed | Offense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Shorthanded Goals Scored | Defense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| OT Win Ratio (wins / opportunities) | Overtime | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| OT Wins Ratio | Global | 0% · 0 | 100% · 100 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Shot-Attempt Share (Off Zone Proxy) | Offense | 62.4% · 95.3 | 37.6% · 4.7 |
| Opponent Shot-Attempt Share (Zone Proxy) | Defense | 37.6% · 95.3 | 62.4% · 4.7 |
| Bottom-6 Forwards Points/Game | Offense | 0 · 0 | 0.83 · 83.3 |
| Shot Attempts / Game | Offense | 72 · 100 | 44 · 28.2 |
| Goals / Powerplay Minute | Offense | 0.03 · 28.3 | 0.1 · 100 |
| Points / Powerplay Minute | Offense | 0.09 · 28.3 | 0.3 · 100 |
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Oilers vs Canucks matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks on September 24, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Edmonton Oilers power ranking and Vancouver Canucks power ranking.