Chicago Blackhawks vs St. Louis Blues
Model projection
Blackhawks 50%Blues 50%
Projected score2.2 – 2.3expected goals
Overtime19%chance of OT
Model moneyline-101 / +101Blackhawks / Blues
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Blackhawks | Blues | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 350 | 175 | Blackhawks |
| Offense | 234.2 | 259.3 | Blues |
| Defense | 236.9 | 353.9 | Blues |
| Overtime | 341.5 | 284.4 | Blackhawks |
| Opponents | 57.7 | 36.3 | Blackhawks |
| Global | 181.5 | 194.4 | Blues |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Blackhawks | Blues |
|---|---|---|---|
| Line Stability | Coaching | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Top 5 Players Production Ratio | Offense | 100% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Primary Goalie Game Ratio | Defense | 100% · 100 | 0% · 0 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 1 · 100 | 0 · 0 |
| Scoring Chances / Game | Offense | 13.2 · 21.4 | 21.8 · 86.6 |
| Opponent Shots / Game | Defense | 37 · 0 | 23.3 · 62.5 |
| Shorthanded Opportunities / PK Minute (Proxy) | Defense | 0.6 · 40.7 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Scoring Chances / Game | Defense | 21.8 · 17.7 | 13 · 75.4 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 26.2% · 60.2 | 63.8% · 3 |
| Opponent Shot Quality (allowed) | Defense | 0.122 · 27.5 | 0.097 · 84.3 |
| Goals Against / Game | Defense | 5 · 16.7 | 1.8 · 70.8 |
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Blackhawks vs Blues matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Chicago Blackhawks vs St. Louis Blues on September 24, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Chicago Blackhawks power ranking and St. Louis Blues power ranking.