Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators
Model projection
Lightning 58%Predators 42%
Projected score3.1 – 2.6expected goals
Overtime17%chance of OT
Model moneyline-140 / +140Lightning / Predators
Market moneyline— / —no stored line
Section edges
Season-level model scores for each side. The higher score owns the edge in that part of the game.
| Section | Lightning | Predators | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front Office | 300 | 300 | Even |
| Coaching | 252.8 | 165.3 | Lightning |
| Offense | 244.2 | 225.5 | Lightning |
| Defense | 303.8 | 348 | Predators |
| Overtime | 282 | 328.2 | Predators |
| Opponents | 52.1 | 37.9 | Lightning |
| Global | 142.6 | 298.1 | Predators |
Metric matchup
The largest gaps between the two clubs across the model's shared metrics, with each side's raw value and 0–100 league score.
| Metric | Section | Lightning | Predators |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Offense | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks from 2+ Goal Deficit | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Opp Comebacks in 3rd Periods | Defense | 1 · 0 | 0 · 100 |
| Number of Different Goal Scorers (OT) | Overtime | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| 2-Goal Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Last 5-Minute Comeback Wins | Global | 0 · 0 | 1 · 100 |
| Time with the Lead | Offense | 39% · 59.3 | 0% · 0 |
| Opp Time with the Lead | Defense | 25% · 62 | 58.1% · 11.6 |
| Shot Attempts / Game | Offense | 51.3 · 46.8 | 33 · 0 |
| First 10 Minutes Goals For/Against | Coaching | 67% · 66.7 | 25% · 25 |
| Opp Scoring Chances / Game | Defense | 14.8 · 63.9 | 9.3 · 100 |
| 3+ Goal Routes (Blowout Losses) | Coaching | 0 · 100 | 1 · 66.7 |
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Lightning vs Predators matchup
This page summarizes the NHL Power Ranking model's view of Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators on September 22, 2026. Win probabilities come from the head-to-head engine, which blends each club's stored power sections with goaltending, schedule rest and available roster context. Section edges show where each side owns a season-long advantage; the metric table lists the largest measured gaps.
Team pages: Tampa Bay Lightning power ranking and Nashville Predators power ranking.